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Semiconductor revenues are expected to increase 12.8% in 2018 as a result of continued strong memory prices. Units are expected to grow 7.2%. The forecast is based on moderate smartphone sales with a possible return to lower memory prices in the second half of the year. This, among other market issues, will push 2018 wafer demand to over 115 million units in 300mm equivalents according to Semico Research's newest report, Semico Wafer Demand Update Q2 2018.
"Semiconductor manufacturers are rolling out new products targeted at artificial intelligence applications. Products require both the most advanced technologies for AI training functions as well as potentially high-volume products for edge devices," says Joanne Itow, Manager Manufacturing Research for Semico. "On the other side of the technology spectrum, mature processes for sensors and analog products such as biometric sensors, RF and power management continue to be in high demand aided by growth in internet of things (IoT) applications along with more 'smart devices' that are beginning to build in algorithms that are the precursor to full-fledged AI devices."
Key findings include:
- 2018 NAND revenues are expected to increase 18.9%.
- MCU revenues are expected to exceed $17 billion in 2018.
- Total Communication MOS Logic wafer demand is expected to increase 4.0% in 2018.
- Sensor units are expected to grow 20.4% in 2018.
Semico Research's report, Semico Wafer DemandUpdate Q2 2018 (MA110-18), includes an Excel spreadsheet which provides wafer demand by 18 product categories and 14 technology nodes over a 13-year time frame from 2010 to 2022. There is also a summary write-up which provides insight into the recent trends for key semiconductor product categories.