Global Total Semiconductor Equipment Sales Forecast to Reach Record $124 Billion in 2025
December 12, 2023 | SEMIEstimated reading time: 3 minutes
Global sales of total semiconductor manufacturing equipment by original equipment manufacturers are forecast to reach $100 billion in 2023, a contraction of 6.1% from the industry record of $107.4 billion posted in 2022, SEMI announced in its Year-End Total Semiconductor Equipment Forecast – OEM Perspective at SEMICON Japan 2023. Semiconductor manufacturing equipment growth is expected to resume in 2024, with sales forecast to reach a new high of $124 billion in 2025, supported by both the front-end and back-end segments.
“We anticipate a temporary contraction in 2023 due to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor market,” said Ajit Manocha, SEMI President and CEO. “2024 will be a transition year. We then expect a strong rebound in 2025, driven by capacity expansion, new fab projects, and high demand for advanced technologies and solutions across the front-end and back-end segments.”
Semiconductor Equipment Sales by Segment
After registering a record $94 billion in sales last year, the wafer fab equipment segment, which includes wafer processing, fab facilities and mask/reticle equipment, is projected to slip 3.7% to $90.6 billion in 2023. This contraction marks a significant improvement from the 18.8% decline forecast by SEMI in its Mid-Year Total Semiconductor Equipment Forecast – OEM Perspective. The upward revision is primarily due to strong equipment spending by China. Wafer fab equipment segment sales are projected to grow at a modest 3% in 2024 from the revised 2023 base due to limited memory capacity addition and the pause of mature capacity expansion. A growth path with a further 18% expansion in 2025 is expected as new fab projects, capacity expansion and technology migrations drive investments to nearly $110 billion.
The decline in back-end equipment segment sales started in 2022 and continued in 2023 due to challenging macroeconomic conditions and softening semiconductor demand. Semiconductor test equipment market sales are projected to contract by 15.9% to $6.3 billion in 2023, while assembly and packaging equipment sales are expected to drop by 31% to $4.0 billion in the same year. The test equipment and assembly and packaging equipment segments are forecast to expand by 13.9% and 24.3%, respectively, next year. Back-end segment growth is expected to continue in 2025, with test equipment sales rising 17% and assembly and packaging sales increasing 20%.
Semiconductor Equipment Sales by Application
Equipment sales for foundry and logic applications, accounting for more than half of total wafer fab equipment receipts, are expected to log a 6% increase year-over-year to $56.3 billion in 2023 despite softer end-market conditions. The application segment is forecast to contract 2% in 2024 as mature technology expansion slows and spending on leading-edge technology improves. Foundry and logic equipment investments are projected to increase 15% in 2025 to $63.3 billion, driven by increased capacity expansion purchases and the introduction of new device architectures.
As anticipated, memory-related capital expenditures will see the sharpest decline in 2023. NAND equipment sales are predicted to drop by 49% to $8.8 billion in 2023 but will surge 21% to $10.7 billion in 2024 and rise another 51% to $16.2 billion in 2025. DRAM equipment sales are expected to remain stable, growing by 1% and 3% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Supported by continuous technology migration and expanding demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), DRAM equipment segment sales are expected to increase an additional 20% to $15.5 billion in 2025.
Semiconductor Equipment Sales by Region
China, Taiwan and Korea are expected to remain the top three destinations for equipment spending through 2025. China is projected to maintain the top position over the forecast period as the region’s equipment billings continue to soar. Equipment shipments to China are projected to surpass a record $30 billion in 2023, widening its lead with other regions. While equipment spending for most tracked regions is expected to fall in 2023 before resuming growth in 2024, China is expected to see a mild contraction in 2024 after heavy investments in 2023.
The SEMI forecast is based on collective input from top equipment suppliers, the SEMI Worldwide Semiconductor Equipment Market Statistics (WWSEMS) data collection program and the industry-recognized SEMI World Fab Forecast database.
The Equipment Market Data Subscription (EMDS) from SEMI provides comprehensive market data for the global semiconductor equipment market. A subscription includes three reports:
- Monthly SEMI North American Billings Report, an early perspective of equipment market trends
- Monthly Worldwide Semiconductor Equipment Market Statistics (WWSEMS), a detailed report of semiconductor equipment billings for seven regions and more than 22 market segments
- Bi-annual Total Semiconductor Equipment Forecast – OEM Perspective, an outlook for the semiconductor equipment market
Suggested Items
Lockheed Martin Australia, The Department Of Defence Sign Strategic Partnership Head Contract
04/26/2024 | Lockheed MartinLockheed Martin Australia signed a landmark AUD$500 million contract with the Department of Defence to build Australia’s future Joint Air Battle Management System under project - AIR6500 Phase 1 (AIR6500-1).
Amphenol Reports Q1 2024 Results, Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
04/26/2024 | BUSINESS WIREAmphenol Corporation reported first quarter 2024 results. In addition, the Company is announcing a new three-year, $2 billion stock repurchase program.
KLA Corporation Reports Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Results
04/26/2024 | KLAKLA Corporation announced financial and operating results for its third quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended on March 31, 2024, and reported GAAP net income of $601.5 million and GAAP earnings per diluted share of $4.43 on revenue of $2.36 billion.
SMC Korea 2024 to Highlight Semiconductor Materials Trends and Innovations on Industry’s Path to $1 Trillion
04/24/2024 | SEMIWith Korea a major consumer of semiconductor materials and advanced materials a key driver of innovation on the industry’s path to $1 trillion, industry leaders and experts will gather at SMC (Strategic Materials Conference) Korea 2024 on May 29 at the Suwon Convention Center in Gyeonggi-do, South Korea to provide insights into the latest materials developments and trends. Registration is open.
Taiyo Circuit Automation Installs New DP3500 into Fuba Printed Circuits, Tunisia
04/25/2024 | Taiyo Circuit AutomationTaiyo Circuit Automation is proud to be partnered with Fuba Printed Circuits, Tunisia part of the OneTech Group of companies, a leading printed circuit board manufacturer based out of Bizerte, Tunisia, on their first installation of Taiyo Circuit Automation DP3500 coater.